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Saturday, October 18, 2025 by Christoph Schmid|Comment 0
within category Bitcoin,Ethereum,Solana,DeFi,blockchain,crypto market,ETF flows,leverage liquidation,digital assets,portfolio diversification

The crypto-assets sector includes decentralized digital currencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, etc.), tokens linked to decentralized platforms, and derivative products and ETFs backed by these assets. This market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic dynamics, financial regulation, investor sentiment, and technological adoption.


Current Economic Environment

  • Second week of correction: Bitcoin has dropped nearly 8% since Monday, now trading around $105,000, following last week’s 6.84% decline.

  • Macroeconomic factors: Announcements by Donald Trump of massive new tariffs on China and his “trade war” rhetoric have shaken markets, compounded by concerns over credit risks in U.S. regional banks.

  • Internal market pressure: Massive liquidations of leveraged long positions and significant net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs (over $950M withdrawn in just a few days) are amplifying the downward trend.

  • Contagion effect: BTC’s decline is dragging the broader crypto market: Ethereum (ETH) -9%, Solana (SOL) -9%, XRP -10%, Binance Coin (BNB) -18%.

  • Comparison with gold: Unlike gold, which continues to reach record highs, Bitcoin is still struggling to play a full safe-haven role.


Investment Recommendation

Summary Opinion: Hold / Selective. The crypto market remains volatile and risky in the short term, but it offers long-term growth opportunities for investors who can manage volatility and select solid projects.

Why invest in crypto-assets?

  1. High return potential: Despite volatility, some digital assets show structural long-term growth.

  2. Alternative diversification: Crypto assets provide exposure to a market uncorrelated with traditional equities or bonds.

  3. Technological innovation: Participation in the blockchain ecosystem and decentralized applications (DeFi, NFTs, smart contracts).

  4. Strategic accumulation: Use correction phases to invest in strong projects with long-term vision.

Risks to monitor:

  • Extreme volatility and sudden price swings;

  • Regulatory pressures and monetary policy shifts;

  • Massive liquidations and leverage effects;

  • Competition between protocols and technological risks.

Tactical positioning:

  • Horizon: Medium to long term (6–24 months) to smooth volatility and capture structural trends;

  • Allocation: Focus on major assets (Bitcoin, Ethereum) and selected tokens from strong projects, limiting exposure to highly speculative altcoins.

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